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Unit 4, continued: Conditional laws in the square array and a nonzero correlation

This part studies B §§6.4–6.5, pp.21–24, principally Lemmas 6.4–6.6 and Proposition 6.7. Retain the preceding construction: the five conditional expectations on YY are stable, the nonzero correlation has the maximal number rr of auxiliary positions, b∉Ab\notin A, and Z=Mb(Y)Z=M_b(Y) has been regrouped into a three-group system.

The preceding selected-law, group-preservation, and relative structure results remain hypotheses. We show how, once they hold, the square-array argument produces one more auxiliary position and contradicts maximality.

1. Rows, columns, parameters, and the common corner

A state of ZZ is a quadruple of YY-states with measure mZ=λYm_Z=\lambda_Y. Taking the selected law λZ\lambda_Z produces states represented by a 4×44\times4 square array:

zi=(yij)j∈I,i∈I={1,2,3,4}. z_i=(y_{ij})_{j\in I}, \quad i\in I=\{1,2,3,4\}.

Define the old and new parameters by

Pij=ωY(yij),Ei=ωZ(zi),E=(Ei)i∈I. P_{ij}=\omega_Y(y_{ij}), \quad E_i=\omega_Z(z_i), \quad E=(E_i)_{i\in I}.

Each EiE_i contains all old parameters (Pij)j(P_{ij})_j of its row, by B Lemma 3.3.

For column bb, write

yi=yib,p=(Pib)i∈I,w=Pbb. y_i=y_{ib}, \quad p=(P_{ib})_{i\in I}, \quad w=P_{bb}.

Column bb is obtained through the factor Z→YZ\to Y, (yj)j↦yb(y_j)_j\mapsto y_b, and has law λY\lambda_Y. Row bb also has law λY\lambda_Y because every single ZZ-state has marginal mZ=λYm_Z=\lambda_Y. This identifies two marginals; it does not assert invariance of the full array under transposition.

A row, a column, and their common corner

The distinguished position is fixed at b=2b=2. The controls change only the highlighting.

j=1j=1j=2j=2j=3j=3j=4j=4
z1z_1y11y_{11}y12y_{12}y13y_{13}y14y_{14}
z2z_2y21y_{21}y22y_{22}y23y_{23}y24y_{24}
z3z_3y31y_{31}y32y_{32}y33y_{33}y34y_{34}
z4z_4y41y_{41}y42y_{42}y43y_{43}y44y_{44}
Row: (y2j)j=14=z2(y_{2j})_{j=1}^4=z_2Column: (yi2)i=14(y_{i2})_{i=1}^4Common corner: y22y_{22}

Each row is a ZZ-state ziz_i. Row 2 and column 2 each have marginal law λY\lambda_Y and share y22y_{22}. This does not imply that the joint law of the full array is invariant under transposition.

The diagram illustrates the indices in a case with b=2b=2. The proof uses its fixed b∈I∖Ab\in I\setminus A and sets Z=Mb(Y)Z=M_b(Y).

Source: B §6.4–6.5, pp.21–24.

The functions from the preceding part are

q((yj)j)=∏j∈Ahj(dY(yj))∏j∉A∪{b}hj(xY(yj)), q((y_j)_j)= \prod_{j\in A}h_j(d_Y(y_j)) \prod_{j\notin A\cup\{b\}}h_j(x_Y(y_j)),

and

g(P,y)=EλY[q∣P,yb],u(e,y)=EmZ[q∣ωZ,yb]. g(P,y)=\mathbb E_{\lambda_Y}[q\mid P,y_b], \quad u(e,y)=\mathbb E_{m_Z}[q\mid\omega_Z,y_b].

We know that g(P,yb)g(P,y_b) is nonzero in L2(λY)L^2(\lambda_Y). The crucial claim is

EλZ[q((yi)i)q(zb)∣E]≢0.(Target) \mathbb E_{\lambda_Z}[q((y_i)_i)q(z_b)\mid E]\not\equiv0. \tag{Target}

The first qq is evaluated along column bb, the second along row bb. Neither includes the separate corner function hbh_b.

2. Stability determines the full column law

Source: B Lemma 6.4, pp.21–22, the first paragraph of its proof.

Apply stability (6.3) to the extension θ:Z→Y\theta:Z\to Y, θ(z)=yb\theta(z)=y_b. On selected-law spaces, θ4\theta^4 is exactly column bb. The old parameter array pulls back to pp, and the new type D0(Z)\mathcal D_0(Z) is σ(E)\sigma(E).

Thus, for every bounded measurable f:Y4→Rf:Y^4\to\mathbb R,

EλZ[f((yi)i)∣E]=EλY[f∣P](p).(Column) \mathbb E_{\lambda_Z}[f((y_i)_i)\mid E] =\mathbb E_{\lambda_Y}[f\mid P](p). \tag{Column}

On the standard spaces, apply this identity first to a countable generating algebra of tests, then identify the conditional probability. This gives

Law⁡λZ((yi)i∣E)=λY( ⋅∣P=p). \operatorname{Law}_{\lambda_Z}((y_i)_i\mid E) =\lambda_Y(\,\cdot\mid P=p).

The law of the full four-state column does not follow directly from conditional independence for at most three states. The stable extension is genuinely used here.

Take marginal bb of this conditional law and apply the one-position case of B Proposition 3.2. Then

Law⁡λZ(yb∣E)=mY,w.(Corner) \operatorname{Law}_{\lambda_Z}(y_b\mid E) =m_{Y,w}. \tag{Corner}

Since ww is a function of EbE_b, conditioning again on the smaller information EbE_b preserves the conclusion. Taking the marginal of row bb shows that, in one ZZ-state, conditional on e=ωZe=\omega_Z, its old state bb has law mY,κ(e)m_{Y,\kappa(e)}, where κ(e)\kappa(e) is that state's old parameter.

3. A row function conditional on the full column

Source: B p.22, equations (6.7), (6.9)–(6.10).

3.1 Temporarily omit one row

Fix l≠bl\ne b. Conditional on EE, after omitting row ll the three rows ziz_i are independent, with respective conditional measures mZ,Eim_{Z,E_i}. This is the proper-subset conclusion of Proposition 3.2 applied to ZZ.

Under this conditional product law, q(zb)q(z_b) uses only row bb. Condition further on the column coordinates yi=θ(zi)y_i=\theta(z_i), i≠li\ne l, in those rows. Observations in the other two rows do not change the conditional average in row bb. Hence

E[q(zb)∣E,(yi)i≠l]=u(Eb,yb).(ThreeRows) \mathbb E[q(z_b)\mid E,(y_i)_{i\ne l}] =u(E_b,y_b). \tag{ThreeRows}

This can be checked on product tests: integrate against ∏i≠lHi(θzi)\prod_{i\ne l}H_i(\theta z_i), first work in row bb and use the definition of u(e,y)u(e,y) to replace qq, and multiply the integrals for the other rows. A monotone-class argument extends the identity.

3.2 Restoring the omitted column state to the conditioning

Write

B=σ(E,(yi)i≠l),C=σ(E,(zi)i≠l). \mathcal B=\sigma(E,(y_i)_{i\ne l}), \quad \mathcal C=\sigma(E,(z_i)_{i\ne l}).

Then B⊆C\mathcal B\subseteq\mathcal C. Stability for type ll says that, for every bounded state function FF,

E[F(yl)∣C]=EλY[F(yl)∣P,(yi)i≠l] \mathbb E[F(y_l)\mid\mathcal C] =\mathbb E_{\lambda_Y}[F(y_l)\mid P,(y_i)_{i\ne l}]

where the right side is pulled back along column bb and is therefore B\mathcal B-measurable.

It follows that, conditional on B\mathcal B, the state yly_l is independent of the extra information in C\mathcal C. Indeed, for bounded GG measurable with respect to C\mathcal C,

E[F(yl)G∣B]=E[E(F(yl)∣C)G∣B]=E[F(yl)∣B] E[G∣B]. \begin{aligned} \mathbb E[F(y_l)G\mid\mathcal B] &=\mathbb E[\mathbb E(F(y_l)\mid\mathcal C)G\mid\mathcal B]\\ &=\mathbb E[F(y_l)\mid\mathcal B]\, \mathbb E[G\mid\mathcal B]. \end{aligned}

Take G=q(zb)G=q(z_b), which belongs to C\mathcal C because b≠lb\ne l. Product tests and a monotone-class argument show that adding yly_l to the conditioning leaves its conditional expectation unchanged. Thus (ThreeRows) becomes

E[q(zb)∣E,(yi)i∈I]=u(Eb,yb).(Row) \mathbb E[q(z_b)\mid E,(y_i)_{i\in I}] =u(E_b,y_b). \tag{Row}

No joint independence of all four complete rows has been asserted. Proper-subset independence is used for three rows; stability handles the omitted column state.

4. The two-line correlation becomes a fiber inner product

Source: B (6.11), p.22.

First condition on the full column and EE. By (Row),

E[q((yi)i)q(zb)∣E]=E[q((yi)i)u(Eb,yb)∣E]. \mathbb E[q((y_i)_i)q(z_b)\mid E] =\mathbb E[q((y_i)_i)u(E_b,y_b)\mid E].

By (Column), conditional on EE the full column has the old law λY\lambda_Y conditioned on the parameter pp. Within that old law, condition further on the corner state. The definition of gg and (Corner) yield

E[q((yi)i)q(zb)∣E]=∫Yg(p,y)u(Eb,y) dmY,w(y).(Pair) \mathbb E[q((y_i)_i)q(z_b)\mid E] =\int_Yg(p,y)u(E_b,y)\,\mathrm{d}m_{Y,w}(y). \tag{Pair}

This uses an identity of conditional probability kernels. Choose a regular conditional probability version of λp=λY(⋅∣P=p)\lambda^p=\lambda_Y(\cdot\mid P=p). For a countable Borel generating algebra of YY and each of its sets BB, the definition of gg and the one-position conditional law give

∫q(y)1B(yb) dλp(y)=∫Bg(p,y) dmY,pb(y) \int q(\mathbf y)\mathbf1_B(y_b)\,\mathrm{d}\lambda^p(\mathbf y) =\int_Bg(p,y)\,\mathrm{d}m_{Y,p_b}(y)

simultaneously for almost every pp. Both sides define bounded finite signed measures. Uniqueness of measures extends the identity to every bounded Borel test in yy. In particular, use the test y↦u(Eb,y)y\mapsto u(E_b,y) without choosing a new exceptional set for each parameter. Equation (Column) is likewise a kernel identity, permitting the integrand to depend on the given EE. The column parameter pp has the old parameter distribution as its marginal, so its exceptional set is still null in the square array.

This integral has no immediate sign. Equal row and column marginals alone do not make it a square. We still need the relation between pp and EbE_b conditional on the common parameter ww.

5. Parameter independence from a change of time origin

Source: B Lemma 6.5, p.23. The change of variables below takes place on the original flow ZZ, without assuming a factor model strictly equivariant at every real time.

5.1 The old corner parameter is a function of the new parameter

The factor θ:Z→Y\theta:Z\to Y has speed one. Write its induced distal factor map as κ:WZ→WY\kappa:W_Z\to W_Y. Modulo null sets,

κ∘ωZ=ωY∘θ,Pib=κ(Ei),w=κ(Eb). \kappa\circ\omega_Z=\omega_Y\circ\theta, \quad P_{ib}=\kappa(E_i), \quad w=\kappa(E_b).

Take bounded F:WZ→RF:W_Z\to\mathbb R and Hi:WY→RH_i:W_Y\to\mathbb R. Proposition 3.2(2) determines the full new parameter law through ordinary continuous averages. Therefore

E[F(Eb)∏iHi(Pib)] \mathbb E\left[F(E_b)\prod_iH_i(P_{ib})\right]

equals the Cesàro limit of the following fixed-time integral:

∫ZF(ωZ(SZbtz))∏iHi(κ(ωZ(SZitz))) dmZ(z).(Time) \int_Z F(\omega_Z(S_Z^{bt}z)) \prod_iH_i(\kappa(\omega_Z(S_Z^{it}z)))\,\mathrm{d}m_Z(z). \tag{Time}

5.2 Changing variables on the original state space

Fix tt and make the measure-preserving substitution z′=SZbtzz'=S_Z^{bt}z. The expression in (Time) becomes

∫ZF(ωZ(z′))∏iHi(κ(ωZ(SZ(i−b)tz′))) dmZ(z′). \int_Z F(\omega_Z(z')) \prod_iH_i(\kappa(\omega_Z(S_Z^{(i-b)t}z'))) \,\mathrm{d}m_Z(z').

Except for FF, every factor is κ∘ωZ\kappa\circ\omega_Z-measurable: θ\theta commutes with the original flow, and each fixed time preserves WYW_Y. These are fixed-time statements about function classes modulo null sets, sufficient for the integral.

Replace F(ωZ(z′))F(\omega_Z(z')) by its conditional expectation onto κ∘ωZ\kappa\circ\omega_Z, written F‾(κ(ωZ(z′)))\overline F(\kappa(\omega_Z(z'))). Reverse the substitution. The spatial integrals before and after replacement already agree at each fixed tt. Factor equivariance is needed only modulo null sets at that fixed time. The integrands built from the original flow and Borel functions are jointly measurable and bounded, so they may be integrated over t∈[0,L]t\in[0,L]. The averages are therefore exactly equal for every deterministic L>0L>0, with no endpoint error.

Neither the time variable nor the integration interval has changed. This uses the deterministic-length parameter law of Proposition 3.2(2); the point-dependent selector Na(z)N_a(z) no longer occurs. For i<bi<b, the given invertible flow defines the negative times. Taking the deterministic-length limit gives

E[F(Eb)∏iHi(Pib)]=E[F‾(w)∏iHi(Pib)]. \mathbb E\left[F(E_b)\prod_iH_i(P_{ib})\right] = \mathbb E\left[\overline F(w)\prod_iH_i(P_{ib})\right].

The one-coordinate marginal of EbE_b is νZ\nu_Z. Since w=κ(Eb)w=\kappa(E_b), we have F‾(w)=E[F(Eb)∣w]\overline F(w)=\mathbb E[F(E_b)\mid w]. Parameter rectangle tests on pp generate its σ\sigma-algebra, so

E[F(Eb)∣p]=E[F(Eb)∣w]. \mathbb E[F(E_b)\mid p]=\mathbb E[F(E_b)\mid w].

Since ww is a coordinate of pp, this is equivalent to

p and Eb are conditionally independent given w.(PI) p\text{ and }E_b\text{ are conditionally independent given }w\text{.} \tag{PI}

The conclusion follows from the change of variables and deterministic-length parameter law, not from transpose symmetry.

6. Compatibility of two conditional averages on one state

Source: the beginning of the proof of B Proposition 6.7 and equation (6.12), pp.23–24.

6.1 Two parameter laws and one fiber Hilbert space

In one ZZ-state, let R(e)R(e) be the complete old WYW_Y-parameter array. It is a function of e=ωZe=\omega_Z. Conditional on its old parameter at position bb, denoted ww, write

αw=Law⁡(old parameter array∣w),βw=Law⁡(e∣w). \alpha_w=\operatorname{Law}(\text{old parameter array}\mid w), \quad \beta_w=\operatorname{Law}(e\mid w).

Since one ZZ-state has measure λY\lambda_Y, we have R∗βw=αwR_*\beta_w=\alpha_w. The column parameter pp and row parameter R(Eb)R(E_b) both, conditional on the common corner parameter ww, have law αw\alpha_w. Equation (PI) gives

Law⁡(p,Eb∣w)=αw⊗βw. \operatorname{Law}(p,E_b\mid w)=\alpha_w\otimes\beta_w.

For almost every fixed ww, in the real Hilbert space

Hw=L2(mY,w;R) \mathcal H_w=L^2(m_{Y,w};\mathbb R)

regard g(p,⋅)g(p,\cdot) and u(e,⋅)u(e,\cdot) as random vectors.

6.2 Measurability as Hilbert-space-valued functions

The standard Borel space YY has a countable generating algebra. Its rational simple functions have dense span in every L2(mY,w)L^2(m_{Y,w}), so each Hw\mathcal H_w is separable.

Fix bounded Borel versions of g,ug,u. Choose increasing finite partitions from the generating algebra and condition g(p,⋅)g(p,\cdot) and u(e,⋅)u(e,\cdot) on them. This gives finite-dimensional approximations whose coefficients, obtained by integration against the fixed fiber measure, are measurable in pp or ee. Set coefficients on null atoms to zero. The representatives and their conditional averages may all retain the bound ∥q∥∞\|q\|_\infty. As the partitions generate the Borel σ\sigma-algebra, these approximations converge in L2(mY,w)L^2(m_{Y,w}) to the original functions.

Both maps are therefore strongly measurable Hilbert-space-valued functions. Uniform boundedness of qq bounds their norms, so they are square-integrable. The scalar conditional identities may first be established for countably many generating tests; Fubini then gives one common ww-full-measure set.

6.3 The corner state's conditional law is essential

The one-state consequence of (Corner) says that, given ee, the corner state yy has conditional law exactly mY,wm_{Y,w}. Thus, conditional on ww, the joint law of (e,y)(e,y) is

βw(de) mY,w(dy). \beta_w(\mathrm{d}e)\,m_{Y,w}(\mathrm{d}y).

After conditioning further on R(e)R(e), the law of ee has no additional dependence on yy. On the other hand, the tower property gives

E[u(e,y)∣R(e),y]=g(R(e),y). \mathbb E[u(e,y)\mid R(e),y]=g(R(e),y).

To obtain this on one ww-full-measure set, let sjs_j range over rational simple functions from a countable generating algebra of YY, and let BB range over a countable generating algebra of the old parameter space. The scalar tower property and the product law above imply

∫R(e)∈B⟨u(e,⋅),sj⟩Hw dβw(e)=∫B⟨g(p′,⋅),sj⟩Hw dαw(p′).(T) \int_{R(e)\in B} \langle u(e,\cdot),s_j\rangle_{\mathcal H_w} \,\mathrm{d}\beta_w(e) = \int_B\langle g(p',\cdot),s_j\rangle_{\mathcal H_w} \,\mathrm{d}\alpha_w(p'). \tag{T}

First intersect the full-measure sets for the countably many (B,j)(B,j), obtaining a common ww-full-measure set. Fix ww there. Uniqueness of measures or a monotone-class argument extends BB to all Borel sets, and density of sjs_j identifies the Hilbert-space vector. Since R∗βw=αwR_*\beta_w=\alpha_w, equation (T) gives precisely all the test identities for the Hilbert-space-valued conditional expectation

Eβw[u(e,⋅)∣R(e)]=g(R(e),⋅)in Hw.(Tower) \mathbb E_{\beta_w}[u(e,\cdot)\mid R(e)] =g(R(e),\cdot) \quad\text{in }\mathcal H_w. \tag{Tower}

This is the paper's equation (6.12). Without first identifying the exact fiber law of yy given ee, one could not pass directly from the scalar tower property to this identity.

7. A nonzero random vector cannot be almost surely orthogonal to an independent copy

Source: B Lemma 6.6, p.23.

Let VV be a square-integrable random vector in a separable real Hilbert space and V′V' an independent copy with the same law. If ⟨V,V′⟩=0\langle V,V'\rangle=0 almost surely, then V=0V=0 almost surely.

Otherwise some ε>0\varepsilon>0 satisfies P(∥V∥≥ε)>0\mathbb P(\|V\|\ge\varepsilon)>0. Separability gives a countable cover by balls of radius ε/4\varepsilon/4, one of which meets this event with positive probability.

By independence, both copies lie in that intersection with positive probability. Their norms are then at least ε\varepsilon and their distance at most ε/2\varepsilon/2, so

⟨V,V′⟩=12(∥V∥2+∥V′∥2−∥V−V′∥2)>0, \langle V,V'\rangle =\frac12\bigl(\|V\|^2+\|V'\|^2-\|V-V'\|^2\bigr)>0,

a contradiction.

8. The fiber inner product cannot vanish almost everywhere

Suppose the right side of (Pair) vanished almost everywhere. By (PI), for almost every ww,

⟨g(p,⋅),u(e,⋅)⟩Hw=0for αw⊗βw-almost every (p,e). \langle g(p,\cdot),u(e,\cdot)\rangle_{\mathcal H_w}=0 \quad\text{for }\alpha_w\otimes\beta_w\text{-almost every }(p,e).

Conditional on R(e)=p′R(e)=p', average over ee. Equation (Tower) replaces the second vector by g(p′,⋅)g(p',\cdot). Since R∗βw=αwR_*\beta_w=\alpha_w,

⟨g(p,⋅),g(p′,⋅)⟩Hw=0for αw⊗αw-almost every (p,p′). \langle g(p,\cdot),g(p',\cdot)\rangle_{\mathcal H_w}=0 \quad\text{for }\alpha_w\otimes\alpha_w\text{-almost every }(p,p').

The random-vector lemma forces g(p,⋅)=0g(p,\cdot)=0 for αw\alpha_w-almost every point, for almost every ww.

In the old selected law, conditional on the complete parameter PP, the corner state has distribution mY,Pbm_{Y,P_b}. Therefore

∥g(P,yb)∥L2(λY)2=∫ ⁣∫∥g(p,⋅)∥Hw2 dαw(p) dνY(w)=0. \|g(P,y_b)\|_{L^2(\lambda_Y)}^2 =\int\!\int\|g(p,\cdot)\|_{\mathcal H_w}^2 \,\mathrm{d}\alpha_w(p)\,\mathrm{d}\nu_Y(w)=0.

This contradicts g≠0g\ne0, which the preceding part deduced from the original nonzero correlation. Thus (Target) holds.

9. One additional auxiliary position

Source: the end of the proof of B Proposition 6.7, p.24, equation (6.13).

Set

K(E)=E[q((yi)i)q(zb)∣E]. K(E)=\mathbb E[q((y_i)_i)q(z_b)\mid E].

Take Ψ(E)=sgn⁡K(E)\Psi(E)=\operatorname{sgn}K(E). Then

E[Ψ(E)q((yi)i)q(zb)]=E∣K(E)∣>0.(New) \mathbb E[\Psi(E)q((y_i)_i)q(z_b)] =\mathbb E|K(E)|>0. \tag{New}

Check each of the four positions of this correlation in the new system ZZ.

  • For i≠bi\ne b and i∈Ai\in A, the column function uses dY(yib)d_Y(y_{ib}). This is retained in ZZ as the old auxiliary list at position bb, so the position remains auxiliary.
  • For i≠bi\ne b and i∉Ai\notin A, the function uses xY(yib)x_Y(y_{ib}), precisely the original spatial variable of ZZ. It remains an original-variable position.
  • At position bb, the function q(zb)q(z_b) uses the three newly added lists QjQ_j and therefore supplies a new auxiliary position. It is centered for the product spatial law of all new auxiliary variables, because the three lists are independent and each factor is centered.

The old position functions retain mean zero, and Ψ\Psi is a bounded function of the full new parameter array EE. Thus (New) has exactly the form of (6.1), but with r+1r+1 auxiliary positions, contradicting maximality of rr.

10. Completion of the paper's fourfold deduction

Conditional on the previously stated results, pointwise failure produces an initial nonzero correlation. The maximal auxiliary-position count exists and survives a stable extension. Regrouping and the square-array calculation then produce one more auxiliary position, ruling out failure.

Finally, the known L2L^2 limit identifies the product of the four integrals. Pull back from the standard model for the fixed functions to the original probability space to obtain the conclusion of B Theorem 1.1.

This explains the deductions in B §§3–6 without certifying all their premises. Major inputs still requiring independent verification include the higher-order mixing assertion in R, the local analytic proofs in H/D and Appendix A, and the previously specified nonergodic structure results.

Guide to the original text

  • B p.21: the square-array definition and the statement of Lemma 6.4.
  • B p.22, equations (6.7)–(6.10): stability and conditional independence after omitting one row.
  • B p.22, equation (6.11): the fiber integral for the row–column correlation.
  • B p.23, Lemma 6.5: independence of parameters conditional on the common corner parameter.
  • B p.23, Lemma 6.6: the independent-copy lemma in a separable Hilbert space.
  • B pp.23–24, Proposition 6.7, equations (6.12)–(6.13): the Hilbert-space-valued tower property, nonvanishing, and the new auxiliary position.